Note: I'm not holding myself to any of these. Mostly, it's a mix of who I'd like to see win or who I think are inevitable winners.
Antiques Roadshow (PBS)
Diners, Drive-Ins, and Dives (Food Network)
Mythbusters (Discovery)
Shark Tank (ABC)
Undercover Boss (CBS)
Who Do You Think You Are? (TLC)
Will Win: Undercover Boss - It's won the past two years and that was before it's competition got divided by this Structured/Unstructured Split
Should Win: Mythbusters - How hasn't this won yet?
Snubbed: Catfish: The Series
Outstanding Unstructured Reality Program
Alaska: The Last Frontier (Discovery)
Deadliest Catch (Discovery)
Flipping Out (Bravo)
Million Dollar Listing in New York (Bravo)
Wahlburgers (A&E)
Wild Things with Dominic Monaghan (BBC America)
Will Winn: Deadliest Catch - The only former winner (2011) in the bunch.
Should Win: Wild Things - When all else is the same, pick the hobbit.
Snubbed: Cops (?)
Outstanding Variety Special
AFI Life Achievement Award: A Tribute to Mel Brooks (TNT)
The Beatles: The Night That Changed America (CBS)
Best of Late Night with Jimmy Fallon Primetime Special (NBC)
Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays (HBO)
The Kennedy Center Honors (CBS)
Sarah Silverman: We Are Miracles (HBO)
Will Win: The Kennedy Center Honors - It's on a five year winning streak
Should Win: Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays - Because we all love Billy Crystal
Snubbed: The Improv: 50 Years Behind the Brick Wall
Outstanding Informational Series or Special
Anthony Bourdain: Parts Unknown (CNN)
Inside the Actors Studio (Bravo)
Through the Wormhole (Science)
Vice (HBO)
The Writers' Room (SundanceTV)
Will Win: Inside the Actors Studio - I'm not sure which way this normally swings, but IAS seems as likely as any of them to win.
Should Win: The Writers' Room - It's the only one I'm likely to ever watch.
Snubbed: Brain Games
American Masters (PBS)
Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (Fox / Nat Geo)
Pioneers of Television (PBS)
The World Wars (History)
Years of Living Dangerously (Showtime)
Will Win: Cosmos
Should Win: Cosmos
Snubbed: ?
Outstanding Animated Program
Archer (Episode: "Archer Vice: The Rules of Extraction") (FX)
Bob's Burgers (Episode: "Mazel-Tina") (Fox)
Futurama (Episode: "Meanwhile") (Comedy Central)
South Park (Episode: "Black Friday") (Comedy Central)
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (Episode: "The Manhattan Project") (Nickelodeon)
Will Win: Futurama - Former winner, nominated for a solid series finale.
Should Win: Futurama
Snubbed: The Simpsons -First time not nominated in 17 years.
Outstanding Short-Format Animated Program
Adventure Time (Episode: "Be More") (Cartoon Network)
Mickey Mouse (Episode: "O Sole Minnie") (Disney Channel)
Phineas and Ferb (Episode: "Thanks But No Thanks") (Disney Channel)
Regular Show (Episode: "The Last Laserdisc Player") (Cartoon Network)
Robot Chicken (Episode: "Born Again Virgin Christmas Special") (Cartoon Network)
Will Win: Robot chicken - Former winner (2010) and constant nominee.
Should Win: Adventure Time - One has to think that years of buzz will finally pull it through.
Snubbed: Axe Cop
Outstanding Children's Program
Degrassi (Nickelodeon)
Dog with a Blog (Disney Channel)
Good Luck Charlie (Disney Channel)
Nick News with Linda Ellerbee: Family Secrets: When Violence Hits Home (Nickelodeon)
One Last Hug: Three Days at Grief Camp (HBO)
Wynton Marsalis – A YoungArts Masterclass (HBO)
Will Win: Nick News - It's quietly dominated this category for over a decade (2013, 2007-2011, 2005, 2002, 1998).
Should Win: Degrassi - Cut Nina Dobrev as Drake's "Started at the Bottom" starts playing and Kevin Smith comes up to accept the award.
Snubbed: Sam & Cat
67th Tony Awards (CBS)
71st Golden Globe Awards (NBC)
86th Academy Awards (ABC)
2014 Winter Olympics: Opening Ceremony (NBC)
The Sound of Music Live! (NBC)
Will Win: Tonys - When in doubt, pick the ceremony celebrating people who put on stage shows for a living.
Should Win: Golden Globes - Tina Fey. Amy Poehler. That is all.
Snubbed: Is this where I'm supposed to say The 65th Annual Primetime Emmys?
Outstanding Short-Format Live-Action Entertainment Program
Between Two Ferns with Zach Galifianakis (funnyordie.com)
Childrens Hospital (Cartoon Network)
Parks and Rec in Europe (nbc.com)
The Soup: True Detective (E!)
Super Bowl XLVIII: Halftime Show Starring Bruno Mars (Fox)
Will Win: Children's Hospital - Reigning Two-time winner.
Should Win: Parks and Rec in Europe - It's about time Parks & Rec wins an Emmy for something.
Snubbed: Parenthood: Friday Night At The Luncheonette
Outstanding Short-Format Nonfiction Program
30 for 30 Shorts (ESPN)
Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee (Crackle)
Cosmos: A National Geographic Deeper Dive (nationalgeographic.com)
I Was There: Boston Marathon Bombings (History.com)
Jay Leno's Garage (jaylenosgarage.com)
Park Bench with Steve Buscemi (AOL.com)
Will Win: I Was There: Boston Marathon Bombings - I don't see it not winning.
Should Win: Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee - So specific and alliterative.
Snubbed: In Character With
Outstanding Interactive Program
Comedy Central's @midnight (comedycentral.com)
Game of Thrones: Premiere - Facebook Live and Instagram (HBO)
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon Digital Experience (NBC)
The Voice (nbc.com)
Will Win: The Voice
Should Win: @midnight - That would be fun, wouldn't it?
Snubbed: ?
Steve Buscemi (Portlandia - "Celery") (IFC)
Louis C.K. (Saturday Night Live - "Host: Louis C.K.") (NBC)
Gary Cole (Veep - "Crate") (HBO)
Jimmy Fallon (Saturday Night Live - "Host: Jimmy Fallon") (NBC)
Nathan Lane (Modern Family - "The Wedding, Part 2") (ABC)
Bob Newhart (The Big Bang Theory - "The Proton Transmogrification") (CBS)
Will Win: Bob Newhart - The most recent winner (2013). There's a chance people got the Newhart love out of their system last year, but I could see people wanting to make sure the legend has at least two trophies to his name.
Could Win: Jimmy Fallon - The next most recent winner (2012). He's becoming an Emmy golden boy.
Should Win: Gary Cole - It's unfair because he's basically a regular, but I can't dispute his performance.
Snubbed: James Earl Jones (The Big Bang Theory "The Convention Conundrum")
Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
Uzo Aduba (Orange Is the New Black - "Lesbian Request Denied") (Netflix)
Laverne Cox (Orange Is the New Black - "Lesbian Request Denied") (Netflix)
Joan Cusack (Shameless - "Liver, I Hardly Know Her") (Showtime)
Tina Fey (Saturday Night Live - "Host: Tina Fey") (NBC)
Natasha Lyonne (Orange Is the New Black - "WAC Pack") (Netflix)
Melissa McCarthy (Saturday Night Live - "Host: Melissa McCarthy") (NBC)
Will Win: Laverne Cox - This feels like an opportunity to make a statement as much as an earned win.
Could Win: Uzo Aduba - Orange is taking this and Crazy Eyes beats Nicky.
Should Win: Laverne Cox
Snubbed: Sarah Baker (Louie - "So Did the Fat Lady"). A true "Guest Performance" and a spectacular as hell one.
Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series
Dylan Baker (The Good Wife - "Tying the Knot") (CBS)
Beau Bridges (Masters of Sex - "Manhigh") (Showtime)
Reg E. Cathey (House of Cards - "Chapter 22") (Netflix)
Paul Giamatti (Downton Abbey - "Episode Eight") (PBS)
Robert Morse (Mad Men - "Waterloo") (AMC)
Joe Morton (Scandal - "Guess Who's Coming To Dinner") (ABC)
Will Win: Robert Morse - The great Emmy freeze out will end and an actor from Mad Men will finally win something. All it took is his character's death, a meaningful speech, and a dance number.
Could Win: Beau Bridges - He's an Emmy favorite and I've heard many people lament the fact that The Millers keeps him from being on Masters of Sex more.
Should Win: Robert Morse - He was great in "Waterloo" and the season in general.
Snubbed: Ray Romano (Parenthood)
Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
Kate Burton (Scandal - "A Door Marked Exit") (ABC)
Jane Fonda (The Newsroom - "Red Team III") (HBO)
Allison Janney (Masters of Sex - "Brave New World") (Showtime)
Kate Mara (House of Cards - "Chapter 14") (Netflix)
Margo Martindale (The Americans - "Behind the Red Door") (FX)
Diana Rigg (Game of Thrones - "The Lion and the Rose") (HBO)
Will Win: Allison Janney - My understanding is that, given her Emmy pedigree and how good the role is, this is a lock.
Could Win: Diana Rigg - She's old, respected, and had a good role.
Should Win: Allison Janney - I'm ok with her winning another Emmy.
Snubbed: Anyone from The Good Wife
Louie (FX)
Modern Family (ABC)
Nurse Jackie (Showtime)
Orange Is the New Black (Netflix)
Veep (HBO)
Will Win: Orange - The category inherantly favors new shows and casting is perhaps this show's greatest strength.
Could Win: Louie - After new shows, the other thing this category favors is shows that cast a lot (hence 30 Rock's many wins). Louie goes through a lot of actors and gives them a lot to do.
Should Win: Louie - I considered Orange, but I'd rather reward Louie for its late series casting than Orange for being newer.
Snubbed: Brooklyn Nine Nine
Outstanding Casting for a Drama Series
Breaking Bad (AMC)
Game of Thrones (HBO)
The Good Wife (CBS)
House of Cards (Netflix)
True Detective (HBO)
Will Win: True Detective - Unlike comedy which at least sometimes breaks pattern, Drama Casting almost exclusively goes to new series, so that about locks it up for True Detective.
Could Win: Breaking Bad - The last time a new series didn't win this was Mad Men in 2010, so if it's not going to be a new series, I'll go with the likely overall winner.
Should Win: The Good Wife - No one appreaciates the moving parts and characters involved in all the episodes of this show.
Snubbed: Mad MEn
Outstanding Casting for a Miniseries, Movie, or Special
American Horror Story: Coven (FX)
Fargo (FX)
The Normal Heart (HBO)
Sherlock: "His Last Vow" (PBS)
Treme (HBO)
Will Win: Fargo - I see Fargo dominating the night(s).
Could Win: The Normal Heart - Unless The Normal Heart dominated instead. There's some high wattage star power in that movie.
Should Win: Fargo - Perfect
Snubbed: Clear History
Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
The Beatles: The Night That Changed America (CBS)
86th Academy Awards (ABC)
The Kennedy Center Honors (CBS)
Six by Sondheim (HBO)
The Sound of Music Live! (NBC)
67th Tony Awards (CBS)
Will Win: The Tonys
Should Win: The Tonys
Snubbed: Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays
Tom Bergeron for Dancing with the Stars (ABC)
Anthony Bourdain for The Taste (ABC)
Cat Deeley for So You Think You Can Dance (Fox)
Heidi Klum & Tim Gunn for Project Runway (Lifetime)
Jane Lynch for Hollywood Game Night (NBC)
Betty White for Betty White's Off Their Rockers (NBC)
Will Win: Heidi Klum & Tim Gunn - 2 > 1.
Should Win: Cat Deeley - For...reasons.
Snubbed: RuPaul Charles for Rupaul's Drag Race
Outstanding Original Music and Lyrics
67th Tony Awards (Song: "Bigger!") (CBS)
A Christmas Carol: The Concert (Song: "No Trouble") (PBS)
Key & Peele (Song: "Les Mis") (Comedy Central)
Saturday Night Live (Song: "Home for the Holiday (Twin Bed)") (NBC)
Sofia the First: The Floating Palace (Song: "Merroway Cove") (Disney Channel)
Sons of Anarchy (Song: "Day is Gone") (FX)
Will Win: "Bigger!" - The Tonys are riding a two year win streak.
Should Win: "Home for the Holiday (Twin Bed)" - It's the only song nominated that I've went back and watched...at least a dozen times.
Snubbed: ?
Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
67th Tony Awards (CBS)
71st Golden Globe Awards (NBC)
The Beatles: The Night That Changed America (CBS)
Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays (HBO)
Sarah Silverman: We Are Miracles (HBO)
Will Win: Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays - One Man Shows have an inherent advantage.
Should Win: Billy Crystal: 700 Sundays - And the advantage is a justified one.
Snubbed: The Comedy Central Roast of James Franco
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