-I sincerely don't research these picks. The Golden Globes are far too stupid/unpredictable to think you know which way they are going. There are no precursor awards to figure out which way they are swinging. It's only through weird luck that they got as big as they have.
-If there is a trick to picking it's to find the hottest trending movie or show, go for the shiny new actor/actress, and in the case of television, be the first to award something before the Emmys. Or, more simply, who do they want to see walk up to accept an award? Even more simply, they're star-fuckers. It it what it is.
-Don't think that the Golden Globes mean anything to the Oscars. I've checked, there's no special correlation. A Globe can't hurt along the way, but don't think it'll make anyone a lock to win later.
-I'm watching for Tina Fey, Amy Poehler, and drunk celebrities as anyone should.
Since these are blind guesses, I'm not bothering with more than a tweet of explanation for any pick.
Boyhood
Foxcatcher
The Imitation Game
Selma
The Theory of Everything
Will Win: The Imitation Game
Could Win: Foxcatcher
Should Win: The Imitation Game
#GoldenGlobesPicks Drama Movie: #TheImitationGame WWII, Gay Persecution, Benedict Cumberbatch. We're done here.
Best Motion Picture - Comedy/Musical
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Into the Woods
Pride
St. Vincent
Will Win: Birdman
Could Win: Into the Woods
Should Win: Birdman
#GoldenGlobesPicks Comedy Movie: #Birdman The closest thing to a superhero movie ever winning one of these.
Best Actor - Drama
Steve Carell - Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch - The Imitation Game
Jake Gyllenhaal - Nightcrawler
David Oyelowo - Selma
Eddie Redmayne - The Theory of Everything
Will Win: Benedict Cumberbatch
Could Win: Eddie Redmayne
Should Win: Jake Gyllenhaal
#GoldenGlobesPicks Drama Actor: #BenedictCumberbatch I'd like to see Jake Gyllenhaal win though. #CrazyMuppetEyes
Best Actress - Drama
Jennifer Aniston - Cake
Felicity Jones - The Theory of Everything
Julianna Moore - Still Alive
Rosamund Pike - Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon - Wild
Will Win: Julianna Moore
Could Win: Reese Witherspoon
Should Win: Reese Witherspoon
#GoldenGlobesPicks Drama Actress: #JulianneMoore Certainly the most attractive Actress race I've seen. How very Golden Globes of them.
Best Actor - Comedy
Ralph Fiennes - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Michael Keaton - Birdman
Bill Murray - St. Vincent
Joaquin Phoenix - Inherent Vice
Christoph Waltz - Big Eyes
Will Win: Michael Keaton
Could Win: Ralph Fiennes
Should Win: Michael Keaton
#GoldenGlobesPicks Actor Comedy: #MichaelKeaton. Ideal Presenter: Keaton/Bale, Fiennes/Radcliffe, Waltz/Foxx, Murray/Anyone, Joaquin/River?
Best Actress - Comedy
Amy Adams - Big Eyes
Emily Blunt - Into the Woods
Helen Mirren - The Hundred-Foot Journey
Julianne Moore - Map of the Stars
Quvenzhane Wallis - Annie
Will Win: Amy Adams
Could Win: Emily Blunt
Should Win: Amy Adams
#GoldenGlobesPicks Actress Comedy: #AmyAdams Can we just give it to Emily Blunt and pretend it's for Edge of Tomorrow?
Best Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall - The Judge
Ethan Hawke - Boyhood
Edward Norton - Birdman
Mark Ruffalo - Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons - Whiplash
Will Win: J.K. Simmons
Could Win: Mark Ruffalo
Should Win: J. K. Simmons
#GoldenGlobesPicks Sup. Actor: #JKSimmons It's like he combined Juno's dad with the drill sergent from Full Metal Jacket.
Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette - Boyhood
Jessica Chastain - A Most Violent Year
Kiera Knightley - The Imitation Game
Emma Stone - Birdman
Meryl Streep - Into the Woods
Will Win: Kiera Knightley
Could Win: Emma Stone
Should Win: Kiera Knightley
#GoldenGlobesPicks Sup. Actress: #KieraKnightley What? You think they should award Patricia Arquette for aging 12 years? #TeamBellaSwann
Best Director
Wes Anderson - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Ana DuVernay - Selma
David Fincher - Gone Girl
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - Birdman
Richard Linklater - Boyhood
Will Win: Boyhood
Could Win: Birdman
Should Win: Boyhood
#GoldenGlobesPicks Director: #RichardLinklater He's been very patient, like, "Nsync was still together when he started this" patient.
Best Screenplay
Wes Anderson - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Gillian Flynn - Gone Girl
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu - Birdman
Richard Linklater - Boyhood
Graham Moore - The Imitation Game
Will Win: Birdman
Could Win: Gone Girl
Should Win: Gone Girl
#GoldenGlobesPicks Screenplay: #AlejandroGonzalezInarritu #Birmand What's with all the director/writer combos? Wheres the division of labor?
Best Original Score
Alexandre Desplat - The Imitation Game
Johann Johannsson - The Theory of Everything
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross - Gone Girl
Hans Zimmer - Interstellar
Will Win: Gone Girl
Could Win: Interstellar
Should Win: Gone Girl
#GoldenGlobesPicks #GoneGirl I'm going to go with the only score I remember actively affecting how I watched a movie.
Best Original Song
"Big Eyes" - Big Eyes
"Glory" - Selma
"Mercy Is" - Noah
"Opportunity" - Annie
"Yellow Flicker Beat" - The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1
Will Win: "Yellow Flicker Beat"
Could Win: "Glory"
Should Win: "Yellow Flicker Beat"
#GoldenGlobesPicks #YellowFlickerBeat I can't be the only one who wants to see Lorde accept this award. Will she be performing this too?
Best Animated Feature
Big Hero 6
The Book of Life
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
The Lego Movie
Will Win: The Lego Movie
Could Win: How to Train Your Dragon 2
Should Win: How to Train Your Dragon 2
#GoldenGlobesPicks #TheLegoMovie Making up for the best song snub. #EverythingInNotAwesome
Best Foreign Film
Force Majeure
Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem
Ida
Leviathan
Tangerines
Will Win: Ida
Could Win: Leviathan
Should Win: Ida
#GoldenGlobesPicks Foreign Movie: #Ida, I haven't seen these, you haven't see these. Hopefully the HFPA has seen these.
Best Drama Series
The Affair
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
House of Cards
Will Win: The Affair
Could Win: The Good Wife
Should Win: Game of Thrones
#GoldenGlobesPicks Drama Series: #TheGoodWife It's hard to not pick The Affair because it's new. #GoldenGlobesLogic
Best Comedy Series
Girls
Jane the Virgin
Orange is the New Black
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Will Win: Transparent
Could Win: Jane the Virgin
Should Win: Silicon Valley
#GoldenGlobesPicks Comedy Series: #Transparent The HFPA must be foaming at the mouth to pick this before the Emmys can. Or #JaneTheVirgin
Best Actor - Drama
Clive Owen - The Knick
Liev Shreiber - Ray Donovan
Kevin Spacey - House of Cards
James Spader - The Blacklist
Dominic West - The Affair
Will Win: Clive Owen
Could Win: Kevin Spacey
Should Win: Clive Owen
#GoldenGlobesPicks Actor Drama: #CliveOwen When in doubt, pick a movie star. When there's several, flip a coin. #HFPAlogic
Claire Danes - Homeland
Viloa Davis - How to Get Away With Murder
Julianna Margulies - The Good Wife
Ruth Wilson - The Affair
Robin Wright - House of Cards
Will Win: Viola Davis
Could Win: Juliana Margulies
Should Win: Juliana Margulies
#GoldenGlobesPicks Actress Drama: #ViolaDavis When in doubt, look who had the most recent $100 million movie and/or oscar nomination.
Best Actor - Comedy
Louis C.K. - Louie
Don Cheadle - House of Lies
Ricky Gervais - Derek
William H. Macy - Shameless
Jeffrey Tambor - Transparent
Will Win: Jeffrey Tambor
Could Win: Ricky Gervais
Should Win: Jeffrey Tambor
#GoldenGlobesPicks Comedy Actor: #JeffreyTambor Then again, what if none of the voters sprung for Amazon Prime? It's a real possibility.
Best Actress - Comedy
Lena Dunham - Girls
Edie Falco - Nurse Jackie
Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Veep
Gina Rodriguez - Jane the Virgin
Taylor Schilling - Orange is the New Black
Will Win: Gina Rodriguez
Could Win: Taylor Schilling
Should Win: Julia Louis Dreyfus
#GoldenGlobesPicks Comedy Actress: #GinaRodriguez Oh no! The HFPA discovered The CW. Where's this going to go? #TooManyPrettyPeople
Best Movie/MiniSeries
Fargo
The Missing
The Normal Heart
Olive Kitteridge
True Detective
Will Win: Fargo
Could Win: True Detective
Should Win: Fargo
#GoldenGlobesPicks MiniSeries/Movie: #Fargo Good for you HFPA, calling these shows what they really are. Is Fargo still cool enough to win?
Best Actor - Movie/MiniSeries
Martin Freeman - Fargo
Woody Harrelson - True Detective
Matthew McConaughey - True Detective
Mark Ruffalo - The Normal Heart
Billy Bob Thorton - Fargo
Will Win: Matthew McConaughey
Could Win: Martin Freeman
Should Win: Matthew McConaughey
#GoldenGlobesPicks Actor MiniSeries: #MatthewMcConaughey I want him to read the exact speech he prepared for the Emmys. #Mcconaissance
Best Actress - Movie/MiniSeries
Maggie Gyllenhaal - The Honourable Woman
Jessica Lange - American Horror Story: Freak Show
Frances McDormand - Olive Kitteridge
Frances O'Connor - The Missing
Allison Tolman - Fargo
Will Win: Maggie Gyllenhaal
Could Win: Frances McDormand
Should Win: Allison Tolman
#GoldenGlobesPicks Actress MiniSeries: #MaggieGyllenhaal It's a good year to be a Gyllenhaal or a Frances.
Best Supporting Actor - TV
Matt Bomer - The Normal Heart
Alan Cumming - The Good Wife
Colin Hanks - Fargo
Bill Murray - Olive Kitteridge
Jon Voight - Ray Donovan
Will Win: Bill Murray
Could Win: Matt Bomer
Should Win: Matt Bomer
#GoldenGlobesPicks Sup Actor MiniSeries: #BillMurray I simply don't see how this night ends without Bill Murray delivering a speech.
Best Supporting Actress - TV
Uzo Aduba - Orange is the New Black
Kathy Bates - American Horror Story: Freak Show
Joanne Froggatt - Downton Abbey
Michelle Monaghan - True Detective
Will Win: Uzo Aduba
Could Win: Michelle Monaghan
Should Win: Uzo Aduba
#GoldenGlobesPicks Sup Actress MiniSeries: #UzoAduba Maybe if her Nicholas Sparks movie did a little better I'd be picking Monaghan here.
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