Oscar Prep: Original Song

When will the Oscars drop this category? Don't get me wrong, I like the category. I think it is a good idea to honor the musical achievements in movies this for the year. The rules seem to be so strict though. I imagine that's why some years have had as few as 2 nominees. This year, there's only four after the fifth was disqualified (which seems like something they should've been able to determine earlier, but whatever). We've good a decent batch this year although it's looking like Disney vs. Bono and it's tough to say who the more formidable challenger is.

A couple notes first:
-Each category is arrange from Most to Least likely to win by my measure.
-An '*' before the title indicates a movie that I have seen.
-I'm trying to keep the shorthand to a minimum (get it). A couple that come up though are BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts), SAG (Screen Actors Guild), PGA (Producers Guild of America, WGA (Writers Guild of America), DGA (Directors Guild of America), HFPA (Hollywood Foreign Press Association).

Other Picks

Best Original Song
Front Runner: *“Let It Go” - Frozen
Nominee: Golden Globe - Best Original Song
Sure, it lost at the Globes but the HFPA like celebrities, especially foreign ones, so that was Bono's to lose. I can't see how "Let It Go" loses. It is a genuine billboard hit and, as we learned with Skyfall, that should not be taken lightly.

Dark Horse: “Ordinary Love” - Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Winner: Golden Globe - Best Original Song
Who knows? Maybe the Academy loves Bono too.

Other Nominees:
*“The Moon Song” - Her
I could see a narrative in which voters are looking for every way to get Her a win possible. The music branch doesn't tend to work like that however.
“Happy” - Despicable Me 2
Well, it's got Pharrell. Apparently it's 2003 and that's cool again.