Oscar Predictions: Best Film Editing

It's time again for the Oscars. It's been a long as Awards season as always. Guilds, Globes, BAFTAs, and critics have all made their picks  and I'm here to figure out what it all means. Yes, it's time for my multi-part Oscar predictions.
I'm going to go through each category, tell you who has been nominated and won for what, give a context for what that means, and order the nominees from most to least likely to win on Oscar night. That doesn't mean I'll be right, but it does mean I'll be informed. Wish me luck.

Previously:
Best Documentary, Animate, and Live-Action Short
Best Documentary Feature
Best Foreign Film
Best Animated Feature
Best Visual Effects
Best Sound Editing and Sound Mixing
Best Production Design
Best Original Score and Original Song
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Best Costume Design
Best Cinematography

Glossary:
BAFTA Awards - British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards
Eddie - American Cinema Editors Award

This is tough. This might be the toughest pick short of Best Picture. Why? Because there's a good argument for each movie. Thankfully, the BAFTAs and the Eddies give a lot of precedence to go off. The winner of the Oscar for Editing has been nominated for an Eddie for at least the last 20 years (I didn't bother going back further because at some point, it doesn't even apply anymore). Sadly, all five nominees have Eddie nominations this year, so that doesn't exclude any of them. 19 of the last 20 winners have BAFTA nominations too, the one winner without a BAFTA nomination was Girl With The Dragon Tattoo in 2012, which there's no movie comparable to this year. Well, here I go.

Boyhood (Sandra Adair)
Eddie - Drama Editing - Winner
Pros: The Eddie win helps a lot (double since it's a drama). Most importantly, there was 12 years of footage to whittle down. From a narrative perspective, that's an insane advantage for Boyhood that it tells a coherent story.
Cons: The lack of a BAFTA nomination hurts, especially because it isn't like BAFTA voters weren't aware of the movie (It won best film). Perhaps that indicates that the 12 years narrative will play more toward the direction or screenplay.

Whiplash (Tom Cross)
BAFTA Editing - Winner
Eddie - Drama Editing - Nominee
Pros: It won the BAFTA award. It got an Eddie nomination in the Drama category, which most Oscar winners come from.
Cons: The BAFTA win is pretty meaningless. Over the last 20 years the only 7 BAFTA winners also won the Oscar. Those 7 times the movie also won the Eddie which Whiplash did not.

The Grand Budapest Hotel (Barney Pilling)
BAFTA Editing -Nominee
Eddie - Comedy/Musical Editing - Winner
Pros: It has an Eddie win which is more valuable than a BAFTA win. It does have the important BAFTA nomination though. More than anything, I have a hunch that Budapest will pick up a couple more awards than people are expecting.
Cons: The only Comedy/Musical Eddie winner or nominee in the last 20 years to win the Oscar for Editing is Chicago. All 19 others were dramas. That's bad odds.

The Imitation Game (William Goldenberg)BAFTA Editing - Nominee
Eddie - Drama Editing - Nominee
Pros: Double nomination.
Cons: No wins and nothing about its editing is flashy.

American Sniper (Joel Cox, Gary Roach)
Eddie - Drama Editing - Nominee
Pros: The Eddie nomination means a win for Sniper wouldn't have the words "historic" attached to it.
Cons: Too many other nominees have flashy editing. Short of a groundswell of support, I don't see how this could push through.