I'm going to go through each category, tell you who has been nominated and won for what, give a context for what that means, and order the nominees from most to least likely to win on Oscar night. That doesn't mean I'll be right, but it does mean I'll be informed. Wish me luck.
Previously:
Best Documentary, Animate, and Live-Action Short
Best Documentary Feature
Best Foreign Film
Best Animated Feature
Best Visual Effects
Best Sound Editing and Sound Mixing
Best Production Design
Best Original Score and Original Song
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Glossary: BAFTA Awards - British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards
That's what you like to see! Costume design has a little consistency, at least in the nominations. In the 12 years of the Costume Designers Guild Award, it has nominated the winner of the Oscar every time. The BAFTAs aren't far behind (if at all) with 19 nominations out of 20 times for the eventual Oscar winner. The winners only match up for either around half of the time, but I feel comfortable making one claim: the winner of the Oscar will have a BAFTA and guild nomination.
The Grand Budapest Hotel (Milena Canonero)
Costume Designers Guild - Period Costumes - Winner
BAFTA - Costumes - Winner
The five times a movie has won both the Guild and BAFTA award, it also won the Oscar. No exceptions.
Into the Woods (Colleen Atwood)
Costume Designers Guild - Fantasy Costumes - Winner
BAFTA - Costumes - Nominee
The only other double nominee.
Maleficent (Anna B. Sheppard)
Costume Designers Guild - Fantasy Costumes - Nominee
I trust a guild nomination here slightly more than one from the BAFTA.
Mr. Turner (Jacqueline Durran)
BAFTA - Costumes - Nominee
I mean, it had nice costumes. Not showy ones though and that hurts in this category.
Inherent Vice (Mark Bridges)
Costume Designers Guild - Period Costumes - Nominee
Too modern to have a chance. Remember, American Hustle lost this last year.
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