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This isn't a big swing. Game of Thrones will be back. There's no obvious threat to dethrone Veep. HBO is always a player in the Limited Series category. Last Week Tonight could very well be on a Daily Show-esque reign of dominance. While each individual prediction is likely, it's hard to pull off all four.
Julia Louis Dreyfus goes for seven and history.
She is currently tied with Cloris Leachman for most Emmy wins for a performer, and unlike Leachman, hasn't won any as a guest performer. Nothing about JLD's current streak is typical. It's hard enough to be nominated every season of a series. Winning for the entire run is unheard of. The stars are aligned though. Her competition level looks weaker than it did when she won her first few Emmys for Veep and next year will be for Veep's final season.
Netflix gains. Hulu falls. Amazon disappears.
It's hard to imagine Netflix gaining even more Emmy love than it already has, but the way they saturate the market with programming, it's become inevitable. Hulu hasn't had luck with anything other than The Handmaid's Tale, which will lose some real estate with Game of Thrones back in the mix. I'm not aware of anything in development for them that looks like an Emmy player either. Amazon has had a lot of failures lately and are publicly moving in a different direction. Transparent might get a lead actor nomination still, but that's about it.
Stranger Things falls hard.
I was very wrong about how sustainable Stranger Things' popularity was for season 1, so I'm probably underestimating it now too. This series looks like the definitive one hit wonder with Emmy voters. I'm sure it will still be popular, but without the surprise factor, I don't see how it keeps all those writing, directing, and acting nominations. A drama series nomination might still be in play, but I wouldn't bet on it.
Twin Peaks gets no more than 1 nomination for the main ceremony
By the time the next Emmys come around, Twin Peaks will have been over for a year. It had a niche audience, even by Emmy standards. While it won back in the day, I don't see this gets more than a token nomination for one of the actors or whatever episode David Lynch submits for directing.
HBO fails to win for TV Movie again
HBO has always dominated this category. In recent years it's shown more weakness, partially thanks to weaker offerings on their part. I'm not sure where the winner will come from, but the loophole that Sherlock and Black Mirror have used is getting more popular every year.
Tatiana Maslany doesn't get nominated again.
I'm not rooting for this at all. It just seems likely. It took a lot of campaigning to get her nominated in the first place. The momentum from her surprise win last year could be lost thanks to Orphan Black taking a year off from the Emmys because it premiered too late. I'm not convinced voters will remember her when she''s back on the ballot. Hopefully I'm wrong.
Elisabeth Moss wins two Emmys
The Handmaid's Tale is a safe bet. Top of the Lake will be back for Limited Series. She was nominated for that once. I don't think a win is out of the question. This, of course, is all invalidated if the continuing storyline of Top of the Lake gets it moved from Limited Series to Drama Series (a la Downtown Abbey) where Moss would be competing against herself.
Someone new from Veep is nominated
It's crazy that it hasn't happened yet. As much as I love Tony Hale and Matt Walsh, I would've expected them to rotate out with Timothy Simons, Reid Scott, Gary Cole, Kevin Dunn, or Sam Richardson at some point. The same goes Sarah Sutherland sneaking into the Supporting Actress field.
Welcome back, The Daily Show
This is a little out there. The Variety Talk category is pretty set as it is. Trevor Noah and company have settled into their Daily Show a little more. I could see them sneaking a writing or directing nomination at the very least.
Bonus: Diversity becomes a problem again
This one is hard to measure. But, after how nicely diverse the winners were this year and given likely hiatuses from shows like Atlanta and Master of None, and the media hair-trigger for this topic after #OscarSoWhite, I could the Emmys getting more vanilla in 2018 and a lot of people making a lot of noise about it. For the record, I am hoping the diversity on TV continues. It's led to many of my favorite shows being made. This just never seems to last though.
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