Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Feature

The Oscars are coming up yet again. The guilds, Globes, BAFTAs, and critics have all made their picks. Now it's my turn to figure out what it all means with my multi-part Oscar predictions.

I'm going to go through each of the Oscar categories, tell you what has been nominated and won elsewhere, and order the nominees from who I think is most to least likely to win on Oscar night. That doesn't mean I'll be right, but it does mean I'll be informed. Wish me luck.

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Previously:

Introduction & Best Documentary Feature

Foreign Film
Visual Effects
Production Design
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress

Cinematography

Original Score and Song
Original and Adapted Screenplay 
Lead Actor
Lead Actress
Director
*Picture*
 

Glossary:

Annie - Awards for Animation

Eddie -  American Cinema Editors Award

PGA - Producers Guild of America Award

BAFTA - British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards

Golden Globe - Presented by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association  Award

The only difficult thing about the Animated Feature award is sample size. The award has only been around since 2001 and only the Annie Awards have been handing out Animated Feature awards for that long. The others were slower to introduce a similar award. Here is a statistic for you. All of the precursors have nominated the Oscar winner every possible year. Annie - 16/16. PGA - 12/12. BAFTA - 11/11. Golden Globes - 9/9. Eddie - 9/9.

Coco

Annie - Animated Feature - Winner

PGA - Animated Feature - Winner

BAFTA - Animated Feature - Winner

Golden Globe - Animated Feature - Winner

Eddie - Edited Animated Feature - Winner

You know that nomination stat I just mentioned? Guess what movie is the only one nominated by all five of the groups. And it won all of them. Any time a movie has won  at least four of these, they've also won the Oscar.

Coco. Is. A. Lock.

Loving Vincent

BAFTA - Animated Feature - Nominee

Golden Globe - Animated Feature - Nominee

On the "I'd risk my life savings betting on it" chance that Coco doesn't win, it would take something truly unique to upset. In this case, that would be Loving Vincent.

The Breadwinner

Golden Globe - Animated Feature - Nominee

Similar to Loving Vincent, I just don't see one of the major studio animated movies upsetting Coco.

The Boss Baby

Annie - Animated Feature - Nominee

PGA - Animated Feature - Nominee

Golden Globe - Animated Feature - Nominee

Nope.

Ferdinand

PGA - Animated Feature - Nominee

Golden Globe - Animated Feature - Nominee

Double nope.