Oscar Predictions: Costume Design

It's time again for the Oscars. It's been a long Awards season as always. Guilds, Globes, BAFTAs, and critics have all made their picks  and I'm here to figure out what it all means. Yes, it's time again for my multi-part Oscar predictions.
I'm going to go through each category, tell you who has been nominated and won for what, give a context for what that means, and order the nominees from most to least likely to win on Oscar night. That doesn't mean I'll be right, but it does mean I'll be informed. Wish me luck.

Previously:
Nomination Reaction
Documentary, Animated, and Live-Action Short
Documentary Feature
Animated Feature 
Foreign Film
Visual Effects
Sound Mixing and Sound Editing
Makeup & Hairstyling 
Costume Design
Score and Song
Production Design
Cinematography
Film Editing
Adapted Screenplay
Original Screenplay
Supporting Actress
Supporting Actor
Lead Actress
Lead Actor
Director
Best Picture

Glossary:
BAFTA - British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards
CDG  - Costume Designers Guild Award

Finally, the last category. I'd prefer to end on Best Picture, but the Costume Designers Guild insists on having such a late ceremony, that I get to this last. There's not a lot to the award. It normally falls under the category of "most" rather than "best" when making predictions. There's two awards worth following: The Costume Designer's Guild has been handing out awards for 17 years now. You can throw out those first four years though. They were all over the place. That means, they've also award the Oscar winner 8 times in 13 years, never failing to at least nominated the winner. The BAFTA has a spotty track record overall, only calling 8 of the last 20 winners. It is worth noting that they've called the last 7 in a row though.

Mad Max: Fury Road 
BAFTA - Costume Design - Winner
CDG - Fantasy Costume Design - Winner
The last 6 times that the BAFTA and CDG have agreed on a winner, it's also won the Oscar. That's good enough for me.

The Danish Girl 
BAFTA - Costume Design - Nominee
CDG - Period Costume Design - Winner
 It failed to get the BAFTA award, but the CDG award has to count for something.

Cinderella 
BAFTA - Costume Design - Nominee
CDG - Fantasy Costume Design - Nominee
It's a double nominee and if ever in doubt about what movie will win the Costume Oscar, looks for the dresses.

The RevenantThink, Oscar night 2004, or 1998, or 1960.

CarolBAFTA - Costume Design - Nominee
CDG - Period Costume Design - Nominee
This work is more about the detail which is normally ignored by the voters.