Golden Globe Predictions

As little as I care about the Golden Globes (I almost forgot that it was tonight), I can't get myself to completely ignore it, and given then depths of TV and Movies I go into in this blog, it would seem wrong for me not to weigh in on some predictions.
The only thing I am certain of is the winner will be the audience since two of TV's funniest women (it's a three-way time with them and Ellen), Tina Fey and Amy Poehler will be hosting.

Movies

Film - Drama
Argo
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty
*Maybe Lincoln, but it's a Hollywood (pro-Argo) Foreign (anti-Lincoln) Press who picks this.

Film - Comedy or Musical
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Les Misérables
Moonrise Kingdom
Salmon Fishing in the Yemen
Silver Linings Playbook
*They love their musicals.

Lead Actor - Drama
Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln as Abraham Lincoln
Richard Gere – Arbitrage as Robert Miller
John Hawkes – The Sessions as Mark O'Brien
Joaquin Phoenix – The Master as Freddie Quell
Denzel Washington – Flight as William "Whip" Whitaker
*As a rule, I always pick Day-Lewis, no matter the role.

Lead Actress - Drama
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty as Maya
Marion Cotillard – Rust and Bone as Stéphanie
Helen Mirren – Hitchcock as Alma Reville
Naomi Watts – The Impossible as Maria Bennett
Rachel Weisz – The Deep Blue Sea as Hester Collyer
*I think there's a real good chance Watts walks away with this though.

Lead Actor - Comedy or Musical
Jack Black – Bernie as Bernie Tiede
Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook as Pat Solitano
Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables as Jean Valjean
Ewan McGregor – Salmon Fishing in the Yemen as Alfred "Fred" Jones
Bill Murray – Hyde Park on Hudson as Franklin D. Roosevelt
*I assume Les Mis is going to dominate.

Lead Actress - Comedy or Musical
Emily Blunt – Salmon Fishing in the Yemen as Harriet Chetwode-Talbot
Judi Dench – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel as Evelyn Greenslade
Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook as Tiffany Maxwell
Maggie Smith – Quartet as Jean Horton
Meryl Streep – Hope Springs as Kay Soames
*They like shiny, pretty, new things. How else do you explain Blunt's nomination in a movie with very mixed reviews?

Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin – Argo as Lester Siegel
Leonardo DiCaprio – Django Unchained as Calvin J. Candie
Phillip Seymour Hoffman – The Master as Lancaster Dodd
Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln as Thaddeus Stevens
Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained as Dr. King Schultz
*It's the Oscars that don't like Leo, not the Globes. If nothing else, pencil him in for The Great Gatsby next year.

Supporting Actress
Amy Adams – The Master as Peggy Dodd
Sally Field – Lincoln as Mary Todd Lincoln
Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables as Fantine
Helen Hunt – The Sessions as Cheryl Cohen Greene
Nicole Kidman – The Paperboy as Charlotte Bless
*She sings. She's pretty. She dies. What more could they want?

Director
Ben Affleck – Argo
Kathryn Bigelow – Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee – Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained   
*Still scratching my head about some of these Oscar snubs. Regardless, Tarantino seems due some awards.

Screenplay
Chris Terrio – Argo
Quentin Tarantino – Django Unchained
Tony Kushner – Lincoln
David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook
Mark Boal – Zero Dark Thirty
*This is a complete toss-up.

Original Score
Dario Marianelli – Anna Karenina
Alexandre Desplat – Argo
Mychael Danna – Life of Pi
John Williams – Lincoln
Tom Tykwer, Johnny Klimek & Reinhold Heil – Cloud Atlas
*When in doubt, go with John Williams.

Original Song
"For You" (Keith Urban and Michael McDevitt) – Act of Valor
"Not Running Anymore" (Jon Bon Jovi) – Stand Up Guys
"Safe & Sound" (Taylor Swift and The Civil Wars) – The Hunger Games
"Skyfall" (Adele and Paul Epworth) – Skyfall
"Suddenly" (Claude-Michel Schönberg, Alain Boublil and Herbert Kretzmer)– Les Misérables
*Everyone loves Adele. I've learned to accept this.

Animated Feature
Brave
Frankenweenie
Hotel Transylvania
Rise of the Guardians
Wreck-It Ralph
*When in doubt, pick Pixar.

Foreign Language Film
Amour
A Royal Affair
The Intouchables
Rust and Bone
Kon-Tiki
*My understanding is that this is the only category where they is a wrong answer.

TV

Series - Drama
Breaking Bad
Boardwalk Empire
Downton Abbey
Homeland
The Newsroom
*I tend to assume HBO + Aaron Sorkin + New Series is a formula designed for the Golden Globes.

Series - Comedy or Musical
The Big Bang Theory
Episodes
Girls
Modern Family
Smash
*Perhaps I'm too optimistic but maybe they will pick intelligently.

Lead Actor - Drama
Steve Buscemi – Boardwalk Empire as Nucky Thompson
Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad as Walter White
Jeff Daniels – The Newsroom as Will McAvoy
Jon Hamm – Mad Men as Don Draper
Damian Lewis – Homeland as Nicholas Brody
*See "Series - Drama" reasoning.

Lead Actress - Drama
Connie Britton – Nashville as Rayna Jaymes
Glenn Close – Damages as Patty Hewes
Claire Danes – Homeland as Carrie Mathison
Michelle Dockery – Downton Abbey as Lady Mary Josephine Crawley
Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife as Alicia Florrick
*I don't think they've tired of her yet. Also, if Britton wins for Nashville and was never nominated for FNL, I don't even have to work to discredit the HFPA.

Lead Actor - Comedy or Musical
Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock as Jack Donaghy
Don Cheadle – House of Lies as Marty Kaan
Louis C.K. – Louie as Louie
Matt LeBlanc – Episodes as Matt LeBlanc
Jim Parsons – The Big Bang Theory as Sheldon Cooper
*Movie star on TV. Personally, I'm shocked they even know who Louis C.K. is.

Lead Actress - Comedy or Musical
Zooey Deschanel – New Girl as Jessica "Jess" Day
Lena Dunham – Girls as Hannah Horvath
Tina Fey – 30 Rock as Liz Lemon
Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep as Vice President Selina Meyer
Amy Poehler – Parks and Recreation as Leslie Knope
 *Look, it's just plain mean to not award a host and Poehler needs a damn trophy from someone by now. This is getting ridiculous.

Lead Actor - Mini-Series/TV MovieKevin Costner – Hatfields & McCoys as Devil Anse Hatfield
Benedict Cumberbatch – Sherlock as Sherlock Holmes
Woody Harrelson – Game Change as Steve Schmidt
Toby Jones – The Girl as Alfred Hitchcock
Clive Owen – Hemingway & Gellhorn as Ernest Hemingway
*Movie star on TV. Record-breaking TV.

Lead Actress - Mini-Series/TV Movie
Nicole Kidman – Hemingway & Gellhorn as Martha Gellhorn
Jessica Lange – American Horror Story: Asylum as Sister Jude/Judy Martin
Sienna Miller – The Girl as Tippi Hedren
Julianne Moore – Game Change as Sarah Palin
Sigourney Weaver – Political Animals as Elaine Barrish
*Movie star on TV playing a punchline "doppelganger" of a cohost.

Supporting Actor
Max Greenfield – New Girl as Schmidt
Ed Harris – Game Change as John McCain
Danny Huston – Magic City as Ben "The Butcher" Diamond
Mandy Patinkin – Homeland as Saul Berenson
Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family as Cameron Tucker
*How do you choose from this field? I guess I like Patinkin because I like Patinkin and the Emmys looked over him.

Supporting Actress
Hayden Panettiere – Nashville as Juliette Barnes
Archie Panjabi – The Good Wife as Kalinda Sharma
Sarah Paulson – Game Change as Nicolle Wallace
Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey as Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham
Sofía Vergara – Modern Family as Gloria Delgado-Pritchett
*It's ridiculous to think that Panettiere could win, or be nominated, or by called a supporting character. I'm not about to pick against ridiculous when talking about the Globes though.

Miniseries/TV Movie
Game Change
The Girl
The Hour
Hatfields & McCoys
Political Animals
*The Emmys liked Game Change, so I figure the Globes will like Hatfileds & McCoys to be different.