Prediction: Netflix will finally get that Series win it desires.
Reasoning: Netflix was 0/30 in the major series awards after last year. It sounded like their programming schedule was the least immediately impacted by COVID shutdowns, so they were in a great situation to take advantage during a down year.
Reality: I was very right. In fact, they won Limited Series and Drama Series, largely thanks to almost every other major show getting delayed.
Prediction: HBO won't win any of the big three series awards.
Reasoning: I fully expected to be wrong about this since Schitt’s Creek ending left comedy series open and I thought Succession would be back in time.
Reality: I was dead on again. They weren’t ready with anything good in Drama Series. Even if I count the HBOMax series, Ted Lasso was too much of a stream roller to win in Comedy. Limited Series was close but Queen’s Gambit’s populist appeal edged out late arrival Mare of Easttown and holdover I May Destroy You.
Prediction: The TV Movie winner will be a movie that was originally supposed to have a theatrical release.
Reasoning: I wasn’t sure how the Oscar eligibility would impact these streaming-released movies. I figured regardless, the pool of nominees after theaters had been shut down for so long would be uncommonly deep.
Reality: Everyone is still chasing that Oscar, so the TV Movie selection was a lot of cast offs.
Prediction: Last Week Tonight loses the Talk Series and/or writing category.
Reasoning: Even during the Daily Show’s reign, another show would occasionally sneak in a writing win.
Reality: Last Week Tonight remains unbeatable in voters’ eyes.
Prediction: Regina King gets another Emmy nomination.
Reasoning: She had 5 nominations in 6 years for playing 5 different characters on three different shows. They'd nominate her as long as there was a way to do it, even if I didn’t know of anything she was working on.
Reality: She didn’t do any eligible TV work. Not even a guest acting gig.
Prediction: RuPaul's Drag Race loses.
Reasoning: They like to throw in a weird win in the category to shake up the monotony on occasion.
Reality: Not. Let monotony reign. Also, still a good winner.
Prediction: The "Other" streaming services get fewer nominations than in 2020.
Reasoning: I figured Disney+, Apple TV+, Peacock, Paramount+, and HBO Max would regress from the 6 main ceremony nominations they received.
Reality: WAAAAAY wrong. 22 for Disney+. 13 each for Apple TV+ and HBO Max. 2 for Peacock. That means the number went from 6 to 50. I need to stop doubting the newer streaming services.
Prediction: Fargo will drop in the nomination count significantly.
Reasoning: Season 3 had the fewest of any seasons with 16 nominations and momentum was waning.
Reality: Just three nomination and for nothing major. This show fell of the map.
Prediction: The Mandalorian gets another Drama Series nomination.
Reasoning: The first season barely snuck in, but COVID delays moved a lot of competitors out of the way.
Reality: Right again. It actually picked up a lot of nominations. I wouldn’t even be surprised if Pedro Pascal with the first man out of the Lead Actor race.
Prediction: Steve Carrell finally wins an Emmy.
Reasoning: I thought The Morning Show would be back and/or Space Force was on its way and looking like it could be something.
Reality: The Morning Show wasn’t ready and Space Force wasn’t good.
I did better than I thought I would (4 of 10) but the COVID calendar really compliacated things. It’s always a fun exercise though. 2022 predictions coming soon.
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