Thursday, March 6, 2014

DVR Purge 3/2-3/5

Take for a mid-week refresher. Caught up just in time for tonight's shows to begin. As surprisingly enjoyable as Modern Family was, I have to look to Brooklyn Nine Nine as the strongest show of this chunk.


Past Purges


The Walking Dead "Still"
I continue to like what they are doing with this half of the season. One drawback of this setup though is that there are some groups with more interesting stories than others. Sadly, Daryl and Beth are in the lesser category. Beth is long overdue a focus episode. I'm still not sure what the character they are building for her is though. She pretends to be hard but not so secretly wants to be an optimist. She's rebelling against her dead dad. Oh, and she sings. Not this week, which is a missed opportunity. We know what to make of Daryl by now. I think the only "new" thing is that he's an angry drunk (did that surprise anyone though?). They are in the smallest group at this point, so it's understandable that they are also the most depressed.
Maybe it was just me but I was picking up on a weird sexual tension between those two. Part of that comes from the fact that Emily Kinney is actually in her late twenties only playing a teenager.

How I Met Your Mother "Vesuvius"
Truth be told, I missed it the first time I watched the episode. I must've not wanted to believe it so badly that I ignored Ted crying and the dodging conversation. I mean, really, there's no way that Craig Thomas and Carter Bays would do that to the audience. No way they could possibly misjudge things this much. They figured out that people wanted the Mother, after all. It took them several seasons and they responded in the minimal way possible. And, if what they hinted at this week was always the plan, then I have to assume that introducing the Mother in some capacity was always the plan as well. Otherwise, what's the point of having this twist.
So, the Mother is going to die. Unless this is a massively annoying fake-out which would make me nearly as angry, then that is what this episode implies and I am livid. There's a very limited list of decisions that HIMYM could make that would make me think they actively hate the fans as opposed to passively being fucking idiots and this is one of them.
I'm tired of ranting about this show. Let's see where it goes because I find equal little joy being jerked-around as finding out the Mother is dead and Ted has spent all this time talking about the parade of women he's banged to his children in order to take his mind off it. So, I'll stop now.

Archer "Archer Vice: Baby Shower"
Poor Archer. Always the show I watch after being blinded with frustration by HIMYM. This was funny. Smart writing as always. The focus is little less on the cocaine now which I'm OK with. I love the randomness of the Kenny Loggins cameo especially because it is such an obvious one for the show.

Agents of SHIELD "T.A.H.I.T.I."
It was an odd balance without Skye this week. After that last new episode, just about anything was going to be a let down to some degree, which I'm fine with. Doing something clever and experimental every week dilutes the impact, so this was a good shift. I still don't care about what happened to Coulson as much as I think the show wants me too. That's always going to be a problem. Fitz and Simmons were separated more. They are best when together but it is smart to let them be their own characters some. I have no idea what to make of this woman, Lorelei (Asgardian I'm guessing) at the end. Seems like a good setup for future episodes though.

New Girl "Sister III"
That was an underwhelming end to Linda Cardellini's stay. It's nice that after the writers did a lot to un-rock the boat with Abby leaving and Schmidt moving back in they add Nick and Jess living together right after they determined that was an awful idea. That apartment is never without drama. It's sad that I'm already to where I like coach better than Winston (for the 500th time though, I blame the writing, not the actors). It just reminds me how little grasp they've ever had on Winston.

Brooklyn Nine Nine "Tactical Village"
Not much to say this week, in a good way. This show keeps getting better. Kyle Bornheimer stops by to throw a wrench into what Peralta and Santiago have going and I know they are writing this well because I actually care. Diaz got to be mean to Boyle in numerous creative ways. That was fun too. The law of diminishing returns proved it doesn't apply to Andre Braugher saying "Kwazy Cupcakes". Hitchcock and Scully are separated and both used in amusing ways. And, I learned a great new way to hold a gun. So, pretty great, right?

Trophy Wife - DVR Issues

Cougar Town "Too Much Ain't Enough"
I think it's a requirement on a sitcom these days to have an episode where the writers get all their hipster jokes out of their system. Immediately, New Girl and Happy Endings come to mind, but there are more examples, I'm sure. Whatever. They made a pretty accurate sounding dub step song, so I'll allow it.
-I wonder how well Guzzle Buddies would sell if they existed or were put on the TBS online store (I assume that's a thing), complete with infomercial.

The Middle " Vacation Days"
I was all ready to sell on Sue's Yelp story until she confronted the mall cafeteria. I'm not sure what it is, but that is the type of scene The Middle does so well.
I've grown a little tired of stories about Frankie and Axl feuding, so I could've gone without that. Most of my has gone toward if I believe Frankie's car could've gotten from Indiana to Chattanooga without a refill.
That was kind of the perfect resolution to Mike and Brick's story. I've gone on a lot about how often the show shits on Brick and I was about to use Mike's explosion (certainly the angriest I've seen him on the show) as more fuel for that. Then, it turns out this is all so Brick doesn't owe Mike and actually doesn't care at all. Great understanding of both Mike and Brick and an even better of us seeing a little of Brick in Mike.

Suburgatory " About a Boy-Yoi-Yoing"
I'm torn. On one hand, Tessa was pretty insufferable this week. Like, all-around, even when she was right and/or vindicated, I still found her at her most-"hater Tessa". On the other hand, I found her way more attractive than I should've dressed up like a pirate. So, if I say that those cancel each other out, then a week with Malik in it is enough for me to call it a good episode.

Modern Family "Spring-A-Ding-Fling"
Both of you who follow this regularly (Hi Mom!) know that at this point I basically go into an episode of Modern Family looking for how I'm going to hate it. This week looked ripe for it. Claire is being bossy and trying to control the kids. Cam is in a stupid feud. There's a story hinging on Haley texting. Mitchell is caught in the middle of a serious of painfully obvious misunderstandings. I could see the blood in the water. Then, something delightful happened: they stuck the landing.
Mitchell realized his mistake and no big deal was made of it. He didn't get fired or quit or something stupid. He just got a little embarrassed. Cam didn't go too big to win against his rival. Petty? Sure. Annoyingly over the top? Not really. Claire succeeded, despite her efforts. Haley got to come through for Phil in the best way possible. I haven't even mentioned Lilly this week who continues her streak of taking "stealth MVP" awards from the Dunphy children. Overall, just a very well done episode that played on its strengths.

The Americans "Cardinal"
A lot of fall out from last week. It's obvious how much the death of their mirror-selves last week has affected Elizabeth and Phillip. He opts to come home after his close call rather than tend to his sick "wife" which would've been the better strategic move. She is planted by the window most of the day. Clearly, they never truly thought of their kids being in danger before this and it is messing with them. They still manage to do their jobs (covering for a rookie Latin-American spy and talking out of getting shot), but it's easy to see how much more complicated it is for them.
Then there's Nina, who is the opposite of opaque. She is confusing because of her transparency. We know that she is a double agent. We know that she's oscillated from one side to the other before. She's out only character with an ear on both sides and I have no idea what she plans to do with that. She has the power despite her "handlers".

Wednesday, March 5, 2014

March Preview

Oscar season is finally over and the studios are back to releasing movies en masse. After a painfully weak February, March is looking to be as strong as ever. There's a lost of potentially big hits this month, which means some are likely to underachieve. Thankfully, from a qualitative standpoint, it's looking pretty good.

2014

2013


3/7

The Lock: None
A lot of strong contenders but none that come with a mandate.

Other Options:

300: Rise of an Empire - Lord help me. This sequel looks like the front-runner to start off my March at the movies. My opinion of the original movie has fluctuated greatly over the past eight years. Eva Green looking like she is going for broke with her performance as well as the promise of some carnage that can be appreciated on the big screen will probably tip me toward it.
Odds I'll See It: 61%


Mr. Peabody & Sherman - Ty Burrell as the voice of Mr. Peabody sounds brilliant. This has a few things working against it for me though: 1) A lot of kids in those audiences. 2) I'm not all that familiar with Mr. Peabody & Sherman to begin with. 3) Dreamworks really isn't one of my favorite animation studios. It's still in the running although that's mainly reliant on getting some fantastic reviews.
Odds I'll See It: 25%


The Grand Budapest Hotel - To be honest, I'm not a Wes Anderson fan. He's certainly a unique filmmaker. I can never take that away from him. The preview looks funny and Ralph Fiennes will probably put up one hell of a performance. But, I have very little pull to see this on my own.
Odds I'll See It: 8%

3/14
The Lock: None

Other Options:

Need for Speed - I like to think of this as a Jesse sequel to Breaking Bad. I'd love to see Aaron Paul succeed. In fact, he is the ONLY reason I'm considering this movie as much as I am.
Odds I'll See It: 42%

Veronica Mars - This is all dependent on two things: availability and if I can catch up on it. I'm not sure how wide the release is going to be. If I have to travel to see it. That could hurt. Also, I'm blasting through it as much as I can right now but I'm still only on season one. I don't want to deprive myself on what is truly "one for the fans" by not being caught up, so that is limiting its odds as well.
Odds I'll See It: 30%


Bad Words - It looks funny. This Jason Bateman starring and directed comedy about a grown man who gets to the national spelling bee on a technicality would've been nearly a lock in February. March is looking too crowded though for what could be a mess of a movie.
Odds I'll See It: 11%


Enemy - Jake Gyllenhaal and his director in Prisoners. That's all I know about it. This will probably be a worth-while watch, one that I see in three years and say" how did I miss that?" but it has low buzz and is in the middle of a clogged schedule. Not much chance here.
Odds I'll See It: 3%


Tyler Perry's The Single Mom's Club - You had me at "Tyler Perry's". I've softened by stance on his movies. That doesn't mean I'm going out of my way for them. I can't even imagine seeing this on Netflix. Movie Theater is slim to none.
Odds I'll See It: <1%

3/21
The Lock: Muppets Most Wanted
Finally, something I know that I'm going to see. Tina Fey, Ty Burrell, Loki, Muppets, endless cameos. The only thing working against it is the lack of Jason Segel who's contributions to the first movie have been somewhat underrated.
Odds I'll See It: 86%

Other Options:

Divergent - I like Shailene Woodley. Apparently Kate Winslet is also on board for this. That's some good stuff right there. I'm yet to find anything about this that makes it appreciably different from the other Young Adult movies like The Mortal Instruments or Beautiful Creatures. In short, until it becomes the next Hunger Games, I'm selling on this.
Odds I'll See It: 29%

Blood Ties - Of the generic genres, generic crime dramas are probably the most disposable. The only thing I see interesting about this is the cast (Billy Crudup, Clive Owen, Marion Cotillard, Mila Kunis). Beyond that, the whole "brothers on different sides of the law" story looks unremarkable. I'd be happy to eventually see it if I hear otherwise, but the burden is on the word-of-mouth, not me.
Odd I'll See It: 4%

Nymphomaniac: Volume I - This is one that I'd only consider seeing due to the buzz about it. Otherwise, I'm not huge on Lars von Trier or Shia Labeouf so there's little pulling me to see this.
Odds I'll See It: 1%

3/28
The Lock: None

Other Options:
Noah -It's really between this and Divergent for this weekend. I'm hesitant to move this into a lock because it has all the makings of a boom or bust movie. I can't argue with that cast though: Russell Crowe, Jennifer Connelly, Emma Watson. Telling the story of Noah from the same guy that gave us Requiem For a Dream and Black Swan, no less. This could get weird and dark and the more I'm talking, the more I realize there's not much chance I miss this.
Odds I'll See It: 65%

The Raid 2 - Step 1: See The Raid. Step 2: Wait for it to expand where I can see it. Step 3: Find a non-crowded (as in, lineup) weekend. The difficulty of any of those steps determines this. My understanding is that this is an insane action flick and it sounds like it's worth seeing.
Odds I'll See It: 21%

Sabotage - This Arnold Schwarzenegger action flick, like most of his work since coming out of "retirement" looks only slightly better than a straight to DVD release and it would have to have some remarkable reviews for me to even think about it again after I write this. Then again, it is from the director of End of Watch, so I'd love to be surprised.
Odds I'll See It: 2%

Cesar Chavez - Wait, is there anyone who actually likes this guy? Are they trying to give him the Mandela treatment? The shame here is that I really want to show Michael Pena some support but this is not the movie to do it.
Odds I'll See It: 1%

Tuesday, March 4, 2014

Movie Reaction: Non-Stop

Formula: (United 93 * Red Eye + Die Hard 2: Die Harder) / Taken ^ - Snakes on a Plane
 

Why I Saw It: It was a bottom of the barrel situation and Taken genuinely surprised me, so maybe this would too.

Cast: Liam Nesson sleepwalks through this (to be fair, that's somewhat descriptive of his character, so it's partly an acting choice). I'm glad he's still getting these paychecks. I just wish it was for something other than a 90% remake of his Taken character but with a drinking problem. Julianne Moore acts like she walked onto set and started playing a random character (something between sidekick and love interest). Michelle Dockery is there basically to perpetuate my stewardess fantasy. That's a waste. I want to check the production dates for this and 12 Years a Slave because this is an embarrassing under-use of now Oscar Winner Lupita Nyong'o. She has fewer lines than such memorable characters as "guy on the phone", "guy who dies in the first 20 minutes", and "co-pilot". Corey Stoll is a generic enemy becomes friend type. I wish there was more to say about him.

Plot: Here I thought the movie would only be contrived and implausible. I didn't know I was dealing with laughably bad. The plot is a basic one: Liam Nesson is an Air Marshall on a plane being hijacked by someone who is framing him. They do this through a series of increasingly unlikely and poorly plotted schemes that almost exclusively rely on so many uncontrollable variables that your mind has to give up and say "well, they did that, so I guess it was part of the plan". Absolutely every single character reacts in a way that no human would. When the big reveal happens and the climactic action ensues, it gets brought to a level that left me with no choice but to laugh aloud (and not in an Expendables way).

Elephant in the Room: But, if I liked Taken, could I like this? Anything's possible, but I don't see how. even Taken 2 made over $100 million. This has all the DNA of Taken without an understanding of what made it good. Liam Nesson isn't fighting bad guys. Mostly, he's beating up on civilians. There's no gun fire because they're on a plane. When the plane inevitably crashes (Look at a promotional poster. That's not a spoiler) the movie jumps from Bourne to Commando so quickly it makes your head spin.

To Sum Things Up:
I don't take delight in saying how much I disliked a movie. It doesn't make me feel better or like I have a more critical eye when I go on about something I thoroughly didn't enjoy. Let that be understood when I say that this is a bad movie. A lot of good intentions went into this movie. They cast it better than they had to. There an obvious attempt to be clever. It works as best as it can within the limited confines of a plane. It falls short of every single goal though, which is a shame.

Verdict (?): Strongly Don't Recommend

Monday, March 3, 2014

Movie Reaction: About Last Night

Formula: About Last Night * Two Can Play That Game



Why I Saw It: There was nothing else in theaters I wanted to see. March can't come quickly enough.

Cast: I can't remember the last time when the supporting characters were the leads. Kevin Hart and Regina Hall absolutely dominate the movie. Any theories I had about the best way to use Hart after seeing Ride Along were confirmed here. He is best when the narrative weight is not put upon him and he can deliver joke after joke. Hall is similar in that she doesn't navigate the straight roles as well. They are clearly the biggest stars of the movie. Michael Ealy and Joy Bryant are technically the leads but that's just because they drive the plot. Mostly, they just bicker and are unpleasant. That's not the actors' faults. All the creativity went into writing for Hart and Hall. Oh, and don't let me forget the laughably bad performance by Paula Patton who I believe the director told to "act drunk" with no other context. She's better than that.

Plot: It's a standard "relationships sure are hard" story of boy meets girl, boy and girl start dating, boy and girl move in together, boy and girl break up, boy and girl get back together". Sorry if I ruined the movie for you. It hits every beat you'd expect from a dog as a surrogate baby to who says "I love you" first. I respect that it goes for the R rating but this really should've been PG-13 if it was going to stick so closely to formula.

Elephant in the Room: So, is Kevin Hart here to stay? I like Kevin Hart in general. He's worked himself into a good situation where he can be the lead or ensemble player and has ties to a number of different comedy clicks, including the all-important Judd Apatow clique. He is riding about as high as anyone in comedy right now and there's whispers of the name Eddie Murphy. He needs a Beverly Hills Cop before that happens (although Ride Along is certainly his 48 hrs.) though. I see the wave crashing for him softly and gradually. In short, he'll be with us for a while if he keeps churning out great character roles like this.

To Sum Things Up:
The only damning thing I have to say about this is that it's derivative, which is to be expected for a remake. It is a solid date night kind of movie with a charming cast. Despite it's black cast it has a wide appeal which it really how it should be. It's not looking to be something it's not. Sometimes what you expect is both what you get and what you want in the first place.

Verdict (?): Weakly Recommend

Sunday, March 2, 2014

DVR Purge: 2/23-3/1

 I need better time management. Some good shows returning from hiatus or for a new season this week. I'm happy to be back in the swing of things, but March is probably the busiest TV month of the year with my current rotation of shows.


Past Purges

The Walking Dead "Claimed"
Good, something to cut in with Michonne, Rick, and Carl. Not that I hated the episode with them, but I can only deal with so many focus episodes. Time for some assorted thoughts.
-How the hell did Rick manage to fight that dude in the bathroom without anyone hearing him?
-I don't even live in the zombie apocalypse and I was more excited about the cheese whiz than Carl.
-So, is the girl in this new group's entire role to look hot in combat gear and holding a gun? If so, then they are doing a fine job.
-I don't know what to make of this new group as a whole. They are either completely bonkers, somewhat bonkers, or anything but bonkers. I can't tell but so far it's different enough that I don't care.
-Every seems to love quiet, pensive Michonne. I prefer smiling, team-player Michonne.
-Michonne walking into the room with the dead family has to be one of the most horrific scenes the show has done. I'm glad they didn't try to milk its effect.

How I Met Your Mother "Rally"
They are testing me and my three-part formula with this one. You've got the Mother, so that I approve of. It was filled with callbacks galore from Weekend at Barney's to the long-awaited (they must've gotten my letters!) Lilly and Robin kiss. There's even some genuine emotion with Barney admitting that he cares for everyone in the group.
Then again, didn't we already kind of figure that Barney cares for them all? Hasn't 9 seasons been evidence enough? They teased us with Robin and Barney having a baby, which I don't appreciate. Not to mention they brought back the "sometimes you should lie to the people you love" argument (Why are they fighting so much for that one?).
It did have a spectacular breaking of the fourth wall by Marshall and the waiter after Ted questions if Bacon is any good. HIMYM isn't that kind of show but as a one-off thing, it worked.
Oh, and I can't be the only one who thought that elixir looked like Butterbeer, right?

Archer "Archer Vice: Southbound and Down"
Of all things, I wasn't expecting a heart to hearth between Pam and Archer. It's nice to see them take a break from the jokes for a  moment to do something like that.

New Girl "Sister II"
Ok, it's a story you could see coming from a mile away. That said, I really want to play Sky Knife now. So, I'm calling this episode a net gain.

Brooklyn Nine Nine "The Apartment"
They pushed the Peralta/Gina backstory pretty hard. There's been nothing in the show to suggest it before now so I'm hoping the goal here is a type of "Band-aid effect": establish it however uncomfortably now so they can move on from here with it as an established thing.
Despite the recognition of Hitchcock and Scully as a singular bumbling fool, who I do in fact find funny, I still can't help but wonder what's the point in having both of them. Unless the characters go through a Rhetta-esque reshaping, I'd be surprised to see both of them back next season.

Cougar Town "Mystery of Love"
My main takeaway from this week is that I don't remember there ever being a Tom and Ellie story. Am I forgetting one where it was just those two? Because I never thought I'd see that unless it was the episode when Ellie finally snaps and kills Tom to vent her frustrations.

The Middle "The Award"
Say what you will but Sue has a surprising amount of pull in the school. How did she get the go ahead for that lunch program? There are times the show goes out of its way to pick on Sue that feel excessive. Having someone literally sit on her is one of them. I sure hope they make up for it but doing something like having her win student council president or something.
I'm torn about Mike's speech. We did get to hear him say what it would've been in bed with Frankie and he had the mostly wordless moment with his guys at the end. Still, I didn't fully buy how bumbling his actual speech was. The Middle excels at comfortable moment like that though.
Finally, Cassidy returns. And I don't just say that because Galadriel Stineman is a Kentucky girl (it helps). This will help to give Axl something to do. So far the show has done a good job using Axl despite being removed from the family so much of the time.
Given The Middle's history of running gags, it shouldn't surprise me how much use they've gotten out of Axl's largely stationary roommate.

Suburgatory "Blame it on the Rainstick"
Mae Whitman and Jane Levy hanging out in a show together. Well, I guess I can stop that letter writing campaign. I love seeing her show up in other things, especially since Parenthood has gotten to where they don't have something for her to do every week. I assume I was the only one who was hoping by the end that the cult would turn out to be The Polyphonic Spree (too dated? been done before on Scrubs?).
I honestly though Noah wasn't on the show anymore. This is very familiar to Andy coming back from anger management on The Office. Hopefully Suburgatory uses it similarly to recalibrate the character because I want to like Allan Tudyk when he's on a show I watch.

Modern Family "The Feud"
Did the writers for Modern Family simply forget how to payoff a build? I remember them being great at it at one point. This was embarrassing. As soon as Haley and Alex set the mirror down at the bottom of the stairs, I could see the strings. And, it ends with people yelling at random things? None of that was well staged. Where did the inflatable dancing thing come from anyway? God, that was awful.
I did like the three generations of enemies though with Luke, Phil, and Jay as well as all of Cam's ways to keep Lilly at a distance.
One final note: How do the writers not get by now that you simply can't make Gloria look like anything less than an 8. What the hell was Squeaky Shoes Pink Shirt protecting her from exactly? She looked a little disheveled. That's it. A complete misunderstanding of talent, plain and simple.

The Americans "Comrades"
That was a hell of a return. I was underwhelmed by how the first season ended and the writers look to have addressed all of my concerns and come off as stupid for ever doubting them.
I have to say, I'm amazed how much skin they are getting away with on the show. We were a cupped hand away from getting the rest of Keri Russel and that's the first time I've seen 69ing on any show. There's much more to the show that what is titillating so I apologize for beginning there.
I've officially lost track of how many layers of deceit Nina has going right now (I think she's at least a triple-agent if not quadruple). Glad to see she is still around. Annet Mahendru has proven to be much more valuable than I assumed when the show began.
I thought it was so sweet when the two spy families arranged a covert meet up at the carnival to see each other's kids, that I should've been waiting for something bad to happen. Did it ever. It's one thing to have the other family killed. It's outright mean to have the son survive to find it. That was rough.
I'm so happy to see Elizabeth and Phillip together again. Hopefully, we get a period of external tension between them and others because it's just as interesting to see them trying to make this work.

The Big Bang Theory "The Table Polarization"
It was a touch of brilliance to have Amy use this table, well, polarization to make her and Sheldon stronger. I think we've moved to a point in the show where his connection to Amy is what humanizes him rather that his friendship with Leonard which was the case for years.
I am so done with Howard going to space. I thought they mismanaged it horribly the first time. I hope this second mission ends with this episode, which it seems to have.

Community "Bondage and Beta Male Sexuality"
It shouldn't surprise me that the person who has the most to gain from Donald Glover's absence is Danny Pudi. He was great this week as he deals with no longer having Troy to shield him from others. Nic Cage is still his highlight for the season. This is just even more proof of his range.
The more John Oliver Community can get the better as far as I'm concerned. It looks like the lack of Troy has been an opportunity for Duncan to shine as much as anyone with Professor Hickey filling the Pierce time and Chang still floating around being random. Speaking of Chang, I have no idea what to make of his story. That was...weird.

Ok people. There was a lot of new stuff in the last week and, as you can tell, with the Oscars being this week, I swamped myself with posts that I needed to put together. I simply don't have the time to do thought out responses to all the shows. The rest of these shows are getting my footnote thoughts. Sorry. As good as Parks and Rec was, I need to get away from the computer.

P&R "Anniversaries"
-John Hodgeman as the Eagleton talk radio host = perfect casting.
-I love how they won't let go of Ben's confusion about why Larry's wife married him.
-The letter writing, while entertaining, was oddly dickish of Ron. He like confrontation but he isn't normally this much of a jerk about it.
-Ben trying to be cool/young/hip is like a candy I'd like to eat until I get sick.
-They are really making a point this season to show how the Parks and Rec department is competent even without Leslie.
-Ben + The Iron Throne = comedy gold. Leslie trying and failing to play along capped it off perfectly.

The Crazy Ones "Zach Mitzvah"
-RV reunion with Cheryl Hines and Robin Williams...both would probably like to forget that.
-I could totally see Zach as an amazing Bar Mitzvah DJ.
-It is such a shame that The Mindy Project couldn't figure out how to use Amanda Setton as well as The Crazy Ones has.

Parenthood "Just Like at Home"
-So, Hank is the most frustrating character on TV right now. In a good way.
-I'm done with Drew and his girlfriend. I could use a break from that for a while.
-You know what I'm also done with? Joel and Julia being separated. It would significantly hurt my enjoyment of the show if they don't get back together. Part of the charm of the show is that it's the Braverman clan vs. the world.
-They've officially forgotten all about Haddie.

Hannibal "Kaiseki"
-That was a spectacular opening. Normally, I'm tired of the flash forward approach to telling a story but since this is all based on a source material most people are familiar with, I'm completely fine with this. This is still the most hauntingly beautiful show on TV.

SNL "Jim Parsons/Beck"
-Jim Parsons started off rather nervous but definitely was comfortable by the end.
-McKinnon is seriously derranged in the Bird Bible sketch
-Still deciding on how I feel about the 12 Years a Slave casting call. The funniest part is that you know there's some truth to thatfor the casting.
- I get that he's another writer and all but do we really need another generic white guy just to do Weekend Update? He's not going anywhere though so I guess I need to deal with it.
-They brought out the big guns for the Weekend Update: Jebidiah Atkinson ANA Shaq and Charles Barkley. They are spoiling me.

Oscar Prep: Best Picture

I don't know. That's what this comes down to. When was the last time you could say that right before the Oscar ceremony? Maybe The Departed in 2006 or Crash in 2005, but those were both cases of a weak group of movies with a winner by default. This years is Ali and Frazier still throwing punches in the final round, just trying to outlast the other. I'll be posting this no more than a day before the Oscars but I promise you, what you are reading is not my first draft of this list. It's virtually a coin toss by now.
That's not even mentioning the movies that didn't make the list. I was sad to see Before Midnight never get the traction to pull a nomination. The whole point of "The Dark Knight Rule" was to get some non-prestige films in the mix so I'd've loved for Frozen to make it in the final list. Indies like Spring Breakers and Frances Ha never stood a chance but certainly are deserving. Rush could've made it with more box office attention. Instead it fizzled away. Enough about the movies that didn't make it. Let's break down the nominees.

A couple notes first:
-Each category is arrange from Most to Least likely to win by my measure.
-An '*' before the title indicates a movie that I have seen.
-I'm trying to keep the shorthand to a minimum (get it). A couple that come up though are BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts), SAG (Screen Actors Guild), PGA (Producers Guild of America, WGA (Writers Guild of America), DGA (Directors Guild of America).


Other Picks

Best Picture
Front Runner: *GravityWinner: DGA - Outstanding Direction, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture – Drama, BAFTA - Best Film

If it was up to me, Gravity would be the lock to win. It's a beautiful and simple movie held together by a captivating performance by Sandra Bullock. The DGA rightfully awarded Cuaron in what had to be a laugher. It's been nominated nearly everywhere that matters. I'm not sure how much a Best British Film BAFTA means to Oscar season but it can't hurt. I see this as being decided by the Acting branch of the vote who will have a hard time distinguishing what Gravity's two person cast does from the more robust casts in the list. Gravity's best hope is that voting by the Actors branch is fiercely divided between all the nominees, diluting their impact on 12 Years a Slave. In the end, I'm picking this because I want it to win.

Dark Horse: *12 Years a Slave
Winner: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture – Drama, BAFTA - Best Film, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture
Nominee: SAG - Outstanding Cast in a Motion Picture, DGA - Outstanding Direction

This pick is all about diversity. No, not that kind of diversity. I mean diversity of nominations. 12 Years has nominations everywhere except with the Writer's Guild, where it wasn't eligible. They split the Producers Guild win with Gravity which has a voting system most similar to the Oscars. The Golden Globe win doesn't mean much but it helps perception with votes, for sure. The BAFTA win helps a lot. In the end, I think that it won't win simply because it isn't carrying any other awards. You'd expect an Oscar winner for best picture to be the favorite in a few more categories than this is. Granted, this comes a year after Argo won under similar circumstances, so, fuck me, right?

Other Nominees:
*American Hustle
 Winner: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical, SAG - Outstanding Cast in a Motion Picture
Nominee: BAFTA - Best Film, DGA - Outstanding Direction, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture, WGA - Best Original Screenplay

There was a moment when the nominations were first announced where it looked like there was a "Big 3" fighting for the Oscar. That's quieted down since. A Golden Globe helps to get a nomination but means little for an Oscar win. The SAG award doesn't put Hustle in contention so much as it plays defense for Gravity against 12 Years a Slave. It wouldn't be stunning if this won. I would be very unlikely though.

*Her
Winner: WGA - Best Original Screenplay
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture

 If the median age of the Academy was about 20 years younger, Her would virtually be a lock to win. Sadly, that's not the case. The more savvy Writer's Guild awarded the fantastic script. Alas, if Phoenix couldn't even pull off a Best Actor nod, this little hope for Best Picture.

*Dallas Buyers Club
Nominee: SAG - Outstanding Cast in a Motion Picture, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture, WGA - Best Original Screenplay
It's odd calling a movie with two locks for Acting awards a non-contender in the Best Picture race.

*The Wolf of Wall Street 
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical, DGA - Outstanding Direction, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture, WGA - Best Adapted Screenplay
Even if it did have some awards traction at some point, that was lost when people started asking questions like "Do I really want to vote for a movie that promotes misogyny and drug use?", which leads me to ask if Hugo made everyone forget everything else Scorsese has done his entire career? People are stupid.

*Captain Phillips 
Winner: WGA - Best Adapted Screenplay
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture – Drama, BAFTA - Best Film, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture

Its chances died with Hank's Best Actor snub.

*Philomena 
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture – Drama, BAFTA - Best Film
This year's "little movie that could" and another example of Harvey Weinstein's mastery of Oscar strategizing. Without at least Dench being a lock for Best Actress, Philomena never had a chance.

*Nebraska 
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Motion Picture - Comedy or Musical, PGA - Outstanding Motion Picture, WGA - Best Original Screenplay
Nominating Nebraska felt like "the polite thing to do". I have no other way to describe it. No one ever believed it could win.

Saturday, March 1, 2014

Oscar Prep: Directing

After a bizarre 2012 which saw Argo, which had no acting nominations, somehow also not get a directing nomination, 2013 is back back to how things normally are. Like the Edting category, this is indicative of which movies really are in contention for the Best Picture win. Unlike most of those years, the award is already locked up.

A couple notes first:
-Each category is arrange from Most to Least likely to win by my measure.
-An '*' before the title indicates a movie that I have seen.
-I'm trying to keep the shorthand to a minimum (get it). A couple that come up though are BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts), SAG (Screen Actors Guild), PGA (Producers Guild of America, WGA (Writers Guild of America), DGA (Directors Guild of America).



Other Picks

Best Director
Front Runner: *Gravity
Winner: Golden Globes - Best Director, BAFTA – Directing, DGA - Outstanding Direction
Gravity will win this. No other movie this years has been described as the director's opus. I don't know if there's even a critic's award that Gravity hasn't won for directing. It will win. If it doesn't, it will be one of the great Oscar surprises.

Dark Horse: *12 Years a Slave
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Director, BAFTA – Directing, DGA - Outstanding Direction
 I can barely even entertain the thought that any one other than Cuaron will win this which is saying something because McQueen did an amazing job directing 12 Years a Slave and I'll be angry if this is his only shot at winning an Oscar.

Other Nominees: 
*American Hustle 
Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Director, BAFTA – Directing, DGA - Outstanding Direction
It's laughable to consider this. That's how tough the competition is.
*The Wolf of Wall Street
 Nominee: BAFTA – Directing, DGA - Outstanding Direction
Scorsese got his long overdue Oscar with 2006's The Departed. There's no feeling of being "owed" a win for this one.
*Nebraska
 Nominee: Golden Globes - Best Director
 I must not be as big of a fan of Alexander Payne as Academy voters because this would've been far from my consideration for best direction.

Oscar Prep: Lead Actor

So, this category is packed. You could almost fill a ballot that matches up with any year with the snubs. No Robert Redford for All is Lost. No Tom Hanks for Captain Phillips. No Joaquin Phoenix for Her (seriously?). No Michael B. Jordan for Fruitvale Station. And the list goes on. The 5 that were chosen  are certainly a deserving set (mostly). Let's look at their odds.

A couple notes first:
-Each category is arrange from Most to Least likely to win by my measure.
-An '*' before the title indicates a movie that I have seen.
-I'm trying to keep the shorthand to a minimum (get it). A couple that come up though are BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts), SAG (Screen Actors Guild), PGA (Producers Guild of America, WGA (Writers Guild of America), DGA (Directors Guild of America).


Other Picks

Best Actor
Front Runner: *Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
Winner: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actor - Drama, SAG – Outstanding Lead ActorI'm confused by the BAFTAs ignoring the film, but no matter. Every other voting group selected McConaughey. I'm not as sold on his performance in this movie, so I'm choosing to look at this as recognition for his last two years, which have been some of the finest and most prolific of any actor I can remember ever.

Dark Horse: *Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Winner: BAFTA – Best Leading Actor
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actor - Drama, SAG – Outstanding Lead Actor
Ejiofor was damn good in this and the film works because he holds it together. At times it is understated which makes it easy to look over. He's got the BAFTA win and the nominations everywhere else. If someone is going to sneak in and yank the Oscar away from McConaughey, it's him.

Other Nominees: 
*Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street 
Winner: Golden Globes – Lead Actor - Musical or Comedy
Nominee: BAFTA – Best Leading Actor

More than any other year, I've heard murmurs of disbelief that DiCaprio has yet to win an Oscar. It didn't reach fever pitch in time for this year's awards circuit but I get the feeling that his next great performance has an Oscar with his name on it.
*Bruce Dern – Nebraska 
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actor - Musical or Comedy, BAFTA – Best Leading Actor, SAG – Outstanding Lead Actor
 It looks like the "career achievement" Oscar talked has cooled for Dern. I don't know how likely he ever was to win. It's been a nice story though.
Sidenote: Why aren't more people talking about Will Forte in that movie? He was superb!
*Christian Bale- American Hustle 
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actor - Musical or Comedy, BAFTA – Best Leading Actor
I'm still not sure how he became a staple of this award season. He went through a Christian Bale-esque physical transformation for the movie, for sure. I can't be the only one who thought the women in the movie completely dwarfed the men. Regardless, no one feels he "is due" anything. I hope he gets a comfortable chair on Oscar night because he'll be in it for a while.

Oscar Prep - Lead Actress

No room for new blood this year. We've got four former Oscar winners and a perennial bridesmaid duking it out. I'd've liked to see a little new blood in here but I'm struggling to find someone I'd fell comfortable taking out of this list. In a way, it's refreshing to see established talents being recognized in an actress field which all too often loses interest in women once they reach a certain age.

A couple notes first:
-Each category is arrange from Most to Least likely to win by my measure.
-An '*' before the title indicates a movie that I have seen.
-I'm trying to keep the shorthand to a minimum (get it). A couple that come up though are BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts), SAG (Screen Actors Guild), PGA (Producers Guild of America, WGA (Writers Guild of America), DGA (Directors Guild of America).


Other Picks

Best Actress
Front Runner: *Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Winner: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actress - Drama, BAFTA – Best Leading Actress, SAG – Outstanding Lead Actress
She has won everything she's been eligible for. The only thing that could stop her is Oscar politics and this bullshit controversy over 20 year old accusations made against Woody Allen. It is a stupid reason to not vote for Blanchett and it would lower my opinion of the voting process even more.

Dark Horse: *Amy Adams – American Hustle
Winner: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actress - Comedy or Musical
Nominee: BAFTA – Best Leading Actress

If it was up to me, Adams is the no-brainer choice for this. She is a force in this movie. It's astonishing that she still hasn't won an Oscar and that this performance could be anything but a guaranteed win. Due to the Golden Globe nomination process, she is the only person who won who isn't Cate Blanchett, so that puts her as next most likely.

Other Nominees:
*Sandra Bullock – GravityNominee: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actress, BAFTA – Best Leading Actress, SAG – Outstanding Lead Actress
It's weird. Absolutely everyone has nominated Bullock for Gravity but I get a sense that everyone thinks the computers did all the work, which is bullshit. This is easily a better performance than the one that got her her Oscar.
*Judi Dench – Philomena 
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actress - Drama, BAFTA – Best Leading Actress, SAG – Outstanding Lead Actress
Dench's layered performance has be the catalyst for all of Philomena's award attention. Sadly, this is one of those years in which an A+ performance isn't enough.
*Meryl Streep – August: Osage County 
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Lead Actress - Comedy or Musical, SAG – Outstanding Lead Actress
I think we can all agree that we have been spoiled by Streep's continued excellence. It's strange that her forgettable Iron Lady performance got her her third Oscar and there's no longer any urgency to give her a fourth win.

Friday, February 28, 2014

Oscar Prep: Supporting Actor

Every year, there are categories that are decided from the beginning of the season and no amount of malaise can shift opinions about the result. Last year, it was Daniel Day Lewis for Lincoln, Octavia Spencer the year before for The Help. This year, it's the Supporting Actor race.

A couple notes first:
-Each category is arrange from Most to Least likely to win by my measure.
-An '*' before the title indicates a movie that I have seen.
-I'm trying to keep the shorthand to a minimum (get it). A couple that come up though are BAFTA (British Academy of Film and Television Arts), SAG (Screen Actors Guild), PGA (Producers Guild of America, WGA (Writers Guild of America), DGA (Directors Guild of America).


Other Picks

Best Supporting Actor
Front Runner: *Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Winner: Golden Globes – Best Supporting Actor, SAG – Outstanding Supporting ActorThe lack of recognition by the BAFTAs is a little baffling, but make no mistake. The people have decided. This is Jared Leto's award. Personally, I wouldn't give it to him, but I didn't enjoy his movie near as much as other people did.

Dark Horse: *Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
Winner: BAFTA – Best Supporting Actor
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Supporting Actor
This is Jared Leto's award. The BAFTA win gives Abdi the Dark Horse distinction. I can't see any situation where he steals this from Leto. Case closed.

Other Nominees:
*Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Supporting Actor, BAFTA – Best Supporting Actor, SAG – Outstanding Supporting Actor
Like a lot of the categories where 12 Years a Slave is my 2nd or 3rd pick, the only way Fassbender wins is if it dominates the night. If it's any consolation, he'd be my pick from this group.
*Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
Nominee: Golden Globes – Best Supporting Actor, BAFTA – Best Supporting Actor
He keeps getting nominated and I don't know why. It's a good performance. It's a movie filled with scene-stealers and the only scenes Cooper steals are the ones without Adams, Lawrence, or Bale.
*Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
"2 time Oscar Nominee Jonah Hill". As someone who legitimately lists Superbad as one of my favorite movies, I love hearing that. It makes it no less surprising to hear. Sadly, despite this being an amazingly committed performance it was largely unrecognized beyond the Oscars. There's no sign of the needed support to pull off a win.