Emmy Predictions: Writing

I won't bother explaining my format or anything. If you really can't figure that out. Check Part 1.

Emmy Predictions:
Part 1: Directing


Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series
Mad Men "Far Away Places" (AMC)
Mad Men will win. Accept this. Best written of these.
Mad Men "Commissions and Fees" (AMC)
My second favorite Mad Men nominee.
Mad Men "The Other Woman" (AMC)
Mad Men will win. Didn't care for this episode though.
Homeland "Pilot" (Showtime)
Good pilot. Not amazing writing however.
Downton Abbey "Episode Seven" (PBS)
I'm sure it's but, but I haven't seen it.

Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series
Parks and Recreation "The Debate" (NBC)
Great episode. Please let P&R win.
Girls "Pilot" (HBO)
If Girls sneaks in a win, it's here.
Parks and Recreation "Win, Lose, or Draw" (NBC)
Two nominations is a good sign for P&R.
Louie "Pregnant" (FX)
Love this show, disliked this episode.
Community "Remedial Chaos Theory" (NBC)
Still stunned it got nominated. Not dreaming too big.

Outstanding Writing for a Miniseries, Movie, or Dramatic Special
Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia (PBS)
I love Steve Moffat. This blinds me. I know it.
Hatfields & McCoys (History)
Big rating. Big nominations. Always a possibility.
Luther (BBC America)
Nominated last year (maybe). Anyone's guess.
Game Change (HBO)
Generic HBO movie nomination.
The Hour (BBC America)
Only major nomination. Not good odds.

Outstanding Writing for a Variety, Music, or Comedy Program
The Colbert Report (Comedy Central)
Trades off with Daily Show every year.
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart (Comedy Central)
Won last year.
Saturday Night Live (NBC)
It has more momentum than most years.
Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)
Yearly nomination. Never wins.
Portlandia (IFC)
Should be happy to be nominated.

Outstanding Writing for a Variety, Music, or Comedy Special
Live at the Beacon Theater (FX)
So many CK nominations have to pay off somewhere.
Betty White's 90th Birthday: A Tribute To America's Golden Girl (NBC)
Emmys love Betty White.
65th Annual Tony Awards (CBS)
Still the best of the award shows.
The Kennedy Center Honors (CBS)
Didn't watch it.
84th Annual Academy Awards (ABC)
If you watched it, you wouldn't pick it either.

Outstanding Writing for Nonfiction Programming
Anthony Bourdain: No Reservations (Travel Channel)
I expect PBS to cancel itself out.
Prohibition (PBS)
Sexiest title.
American Masters (PBS)
2nd sexiest title.
American Experience: Clinton (PBS)
3rd sxiest title.
Sesame Street: Growing Hope Against Hunger (PBS)
Not a sexy title.