Emmy Predictions: Lead Acting

I won't bother explaining my format or anything. If you really can't figure that out. Check Part 1.

Emmy Predictions:
Part 1: Directing
Part 2: Writing
Part 3: Guest Acting
Part 4: Supporting Acting

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad "Crawl Space") (AMC)
Calling this a lock.
Damian Lewis (Homeland "Marine One") (Showtime)
Only if Homeland wins big.
Jon Hamm (Mad Men "The Other Woman") (AMC)
Cranston has his number, sadly.
Hugh Bonneville (Downton Abbey "Episode Seven") (PBS)
Downton Abbey love can't make room here.
Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire "Two Boats and a Lifeguard") (HBO)
Last year was his chance.
Michael C. Hall (Dexter "Nebraska") (Showtime)
Awful, awful episode. Horribly acted by a great actor.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series
Claire Danes (Homeland "The Vest") (Showtime)
Watch Homeland. How can she not win?
Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife "Parenting Made Easy") (CBS)
She does carry the show.
Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men "The Other Woman") (AMC)
Always solid, but not a stong year.
Glenn Close (Damages "I've Done Way Too Much for This Girl") (Audience Network)
You never know.
Michelle Dockery (Downton Abbey "Episode Seven") (PBS)
Don't see Downton Abbey making room here either.
Kathy Bates (Harry's Law "Onward and Upward") (NBC)
Nope. Not even considering it.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory "The Werewolf Transformation") (CBS)
I suspect a big year for Big Bang.
Louis C.K. (Louie "Duckling") (FX)
I want to believe and it is a spectacular showcase.
Alec Baldwin (30 Rock "Live from Studio 6H") (NBC)
Never bet against him.
Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm "Palestinian Chicken") (HBO)
Lots of nominations, never a win.
Jon Cryer (Two and a Half Men "Frodo's Headshots") (CBS)
Moving up to the big leagues, not too quickly though.
Don Cheadle (House of Lies "Gods of Dangerous Financial Institutions") (Showtime)
Please, dear god no.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep "Tears") (HBO)
Meryl Streep of Comedy Emmys.
Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation "Win, Lose, or Draw") (NBC)
A boy can dream.
Melissa McCarthy (Mike & Molly "The Dress") (CBS)
She did win last year, after all.
Edie Falco (Nurse Jackie "Disneyland Sucks") (Showtime)
Former winner. Doubtful to win.
Tina Fey (30 Rock "The Tuxedo Begins") (NBC)
Former winner. Doubtful to win.
Lena Dunham (Girls "She Did") (HBO)
Not the time for the new girl.
Zooey Deschanel (New Girl "Bad in Bed") (FOX)
Not the time for the New Girl.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Miniseries or a Movie
Kevin Costner (Hatfields & McCoys) (History)
Biggest name on a ratings smash.
Benedict Cumberbatch (Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia) (PBS)
I mean, it's called Sherlock.
Idris Elba (Luther) (BBC America)
I like him.
Bill Paxton (Hatfields & McCoys) (History)
2nd biggest name on a ratings smash.
Woody Harrelson (Game Change) (HBO)
Nope.
Clive Owen (Hemingway & Gellhorn) (HBO)
Nope.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Miniseries or a Movie
Julianne Moore (Game Change) (HBO)
Great transformation.
Emma Thompson (The Song of Lunch) (PBS)
She's Emma "fucking" Thompson
Nicole Kidman (Hemingway & Gellhorn) (HBO)
Always give the Oscar winner a chance.
Ashley Judd (Missing) (ABC)
Nominated solely for her name.
Connie Britton (American Horror Story) (FX)
She's not beating those names.